Model portfolios – Swiss focus: Pending further measures by the central banks

valid from 19.05.2022

Although inflation rates in the USA and Europe have probably peaked, inflationary pressure remains high and is putting central banks under pressure. More and more central banks are now deciding to raise interest rates - first and foremost the US central bank Federal Reserve (Fed), which is deliberately accepting a cooling of the economy with its aggressive fight against inflation. According to statements by representatives of the European Central Bank (ECB), the first interest rate step in the Eurozone could be due in July. Although inflation rates in Switzerland are still significantly lower than in other European countries, the pressure on the central bank has increased. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) will therefore already have to consider a first interest rate step for its assessment of the situation on 16 June. For the SNB's credibility, an interest rate step would be appropriate, especially since the current weakness of the Swiss franc means that the justification for negative interest rates is now lacking. We therefore recommend further reducing the bond quota by underweighting Swiss bonds. We continue to adhere to the other, defensive portfolio orientation.

Interest income

Liquidity 17%, equities 14%, fixed income 56%, alternative investments 13%
Source: PostFinance

Income

Liquidity 14%, equities 28%, fixed income 44%, alternative investments 14%
Quelle: PostFinance

Balanced

Liquidity 11%, equities 48%, fixed income 27%, alternative investments 14%
Source: PostFinance

Growth

Liquidity 11%, equities 67%, fixed income 8%, alternative investments 14%
Quelle: PostFinance

Capital gains

Liquidity 7%, equities 84%, fixed income 0%, alternative investments 9%
Source: PostFinance
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